Ciao

I love your posts. Please write more. And tell Mike he can come back too.

We are “at the threshold of the realtime moment” says Steve Gillmor (see also Nicholas Carr)…….

5,000 days ago, we didn’t predict what’s happening today. No reason to think we are any closer to predicting the next 5,000 days.

I really like Andreeson’s chronic/acute pain reference. The music industry in particular seems to enjoy mega-doses of chronic pain without realizing they will eventually end up at the same place only poorer in the end.

As we continue to spread broadband across all cultures and classes, the Internet itself will shift radically just like it shifted not quite so radically when AOL decided to open its gates and let all their walled garden denizens roam the web.

It happens all the time, with Twitter, in real life, and online.

Your question about virtual friendships is an interesting one, since those faucets can be switched on and off at will, as I and I’m sure your daughter has discovered. When that happens, the rush of real time become just another form of personal rejection.

The real-time stream is a myth until the barriers fall away, at which time it will indeed have to be managed, and a new set of skills acquired to cope with the overload and the isolation.

Just read that in people in Kenya are just now using cell phones to make payments, buy things. The interface didn’t need to be designed to mimic the experience of browsing the web with a larger monitor because none of them ever had.

And how many sites (tech crunch included) consists of links to media sites and comments by users? Once the media sites go away, how long will these sites remain?

A few years ago I use to always purchase The Times newspapers in London. But due to a number of factors, especially the pricing of The Sunday Times – I have decided not to buy either one anymore.
I can now read particular articles from The Times, as well as read other favs like Business Week, Wired and Vanity Fair all Online.

So what Marc Andreessen says about the New York Times is 100% right.
In printed Media, no matter how big a brand name you have – the number of copies that you need to sell to make a decent profit, will decline year by year, until you go deep into the Red.

Unless a huge Printed Media Brand Name is not owned by one of the few major Broadcasting Networks, the real value of Printed Media indepentents will hit rock bottom.
Whilst there is still some market value with a large number of Printed Media Indies, they should be courting the big Media Companies, with the ‘For Sale’ Signs.

Eventually even The Times newspapers will lose large readerships, until they may only decide to publish a limited copy of their Daily Printed Editions.
In the future The Times will be integrated within The Sky and Fox News Broadcasting Networks and become a key component in reporting and delivering Realtime Social Media both Online and on TV.

Of course there will always be a demand for Printed Media. But unless the owners and editors of these Newspapers and Magazines don’t adapt to these changes in Realtime Social Media, then they will have to stop the presses.

Thanks for pointing out the interview, Steve.